BCMoore Rankings - NCAA Football
C = conference
* = game played against a conference opponent
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
M = modifications:
X = game is excluded from pre-regression data set.
* = game is excluded when developing post-regression Mod score.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.
-----------------------------------------------
Northern Illinois
Class: 1A Class Rank: 121 Conference: Mid-American Conference Record: (2-6) Overall: (3-9) Overall Strength = 131.75
N Date Location C Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk ( W - L ) Opponent Resid M Predict
1 09/01/2022 Home W 116.46 34 27 1B 86 ( 2- 9) Eastern Illinois -15.29 22.29
2 09/10/2022 Away L 143.78 35 38 1A 79 ( 5- 7) Tulsa 12.04 -15.04
3 09/17/2022 Home L 132.34 28 38 1A 73 ( 5- 7) Vanderbilt 0.60 -10.60
4 09/24/2022 Away L 150.92 23 31 1A 39 ( 7- 5) Kentucky 19.17 -27.17
5 10/01/2022 Away L * 130.46 38 44 1A 112 ( 5- 7) Ball St -1.29 -4.71
6 10/08/2022 Home L * 120.66 32 52 1A 78 ( 8- 5) Toledo -11.09 -8.91
7 10/15/2022 Away W * 167.04 39 10 1A 108 ( 8- 4) Eastern Michigan 35.29 -6.29
8 10/22/2022 Away L * 138.77 17 24 1A 83 ( 9- 4) Ohio U. 7.02 -14.02
9 11/02/2022 Home L * 119.79 22 35 1A 118 ( 4- 8) Central Michigan -11.96 -1.04
10 11/09/2022 Away W * 138.84 24 21 1A 116 ( 5- 7) Western Michigan 7.10 -4.10
11 11/16/2022 Home L * 126.21 23 29 1A 105 ( 6- 6) Miami OH -5.53 -0.47
12 11/26/2022 Home L * 95.69 12 44 1A 124 ( 2- 10) Akron -36.06 4.06
Averages 131.75 27.2 32.8
Best game: 167.04 = 29 point win over Eastern Michigan
Worst game: 95.69 = 32 point loss to Akron
Team stdev: 18.32